Topic

Macro & Crisis Signals

4 articles in this topic. Browse all topics.

• Is a recession coming in 2026? What the signals actually say

  The honest answer is that the timing indicators are not flashing right now — the yield curve has un-inverted and the Sahm Rule is falling — but the system is unusually fragile. Here is how to read the real signals and why preparation beats prediction.

  June 1, 2026 · 11 min read

• What causes inflation — demand-pull, cost-push, and the cause most people miss

  Inflation has three engines, not two. Beyond demand-pull and cost-push lies the structural one — monetary debasement — that quietly erodes your purchasing power. Here is how each works and how households actually defend against it.

  May 31, 2026 · 10 min read

• What actually happens in a recession — and how to be on the right side of it

  A recession is not one event but a chain of them: jobs, then assets, then credit. Here is what each stage does to a household, in order, and how to position before it arrives instead of reacting after.

  May 29, 2026 · 10 min read

• What is stagflation — and how to actually prepare for it in 2026

  Stagflation is slow growth, high inflation, and rising unemployment at once. Here is what it does to your money and the framework households use to prepare for it in 2026.

  April 24, 2026 · 10 min read